Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Marske United		Basford United

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.58	3.96	2.29
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.54	3.56	2.34
	2.6	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.3)	3.62 ↑ (3.44)	2.31 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
35.3%

Draw
25.2%

Basford United
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marske United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marske United - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Marske has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Basford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marske could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marske have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Marske United - Marine	2:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.23	Marske United - United of Manchester	2:5 ✺
30.09.23	Marske United - Matlock Town	0:3 ✺
26.09.23	Whitby Town - Marske United	4:2 ✺
23.09.23	Marske United - Marine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Basford United
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Stratford Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Basford United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Hyde United - Basford United	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Basford United - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Workington - Basford United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Marske United - Basford United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Marske United - Basford United Predictions

Preview

Form

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