Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 10

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Whitby Town		Marske United

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.5	5	Watch
	1.52	4.81	4.71
	1.47	4.45	5.1
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	4.57 ↑ (4.2)	4.95 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
61.6%

Draw
20%

Marske United
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

21.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Whitby Town's performance.

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marske United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Whitby Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marske United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Whitby Town - Marske United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Whitby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marske is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Whitby is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Whitby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
23.09.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Whitby Town - Warrington Rylands	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
01.09.23	Goole - Whitby Town	0:6 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWL
- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
23.09.23	Marske United - Marine	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Matlock Town - Marske United	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Morpeth Town - Marske United	4:2 ✺
26.08.23	Marske United - Radcliffe	2:5 ✺
22.08.23	Marske United - Bamber Bridge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.02.23	Whitby Town - Marske United	2:1
29.08.22	Marske United - Whitby Town	0:0

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