Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Marske United		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.83
	3.6	4	1.75
	3.46	4.39	1.81
	3	4	1.91
	3.52	3.95	1.77
	3.6	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.41)	4.02 ↑ (3.98)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
26.8%

Draw
22.6%

United of Manchester
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

21%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for United of Manchester have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-4%)

Marske United - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Marske has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

United of Manchester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

United of Manchester will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marske won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Marske won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Marske United - Matlock Town	0:3 ✺
26.09.23	Whitby Town - Marske United	4:2 ✺
23.09.23	Marske United - Marine	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Matlock Town - Marske United	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Morpeth Town - Marske United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
30.09.23	Workington - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	United of Manchester - Warrington Rylands	0:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	United of Manchester - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.03.23	United of Manchester - Marske United	2:1
15.10.22	Marske United - United of Manchester	0:2
English FA Trophy
13.11.21	Marske United - United of Manchester	3:2
31.10.20	United of Manchester - Marske United	2:3

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