Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday


	Marske United		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.43
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	4.17	4.93	1.57
	4.17	4.93	1.57
	5	4.33	1.44
	4.18	4.9	1.57
	5.5	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (4.4)	4.63 ↑ (4.15)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
18.9%

Draw
19.8%

Worksop Town
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

21.9%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Marske United - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Marske could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marske won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
30.12.23	Marske United - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Guiseley - Marske United	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Marske United - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ilkeston - Marske United	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LWWLW
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
06.01.24	Worksop Town - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Worksop Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.08.23	Worksop Town - Marske United	3:0

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