Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.87
	3.4	3.65	1.88
	3.25	3.85	1.98
	3.17	3.74	2.07
	3.3	3.7	1.83
	3.36	3.54	1.93
	3.4	3.65	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.63)	3.68 ↓ (3.88)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
27.6%

Draw
24.8%

Worksop Town
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

23.5%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21.8%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Worksop Town aligns with the current prediction.

Lancaster City - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Worksop could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
16.11.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Lancaster City - Ilkeston	4:3 ✺
02.11.24	Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City	5:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lancaster City - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLTT
- Worksop Town
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Worksop Town - Whitby Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Hyde United - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Workington - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.12.23	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0
19.08.23	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	0:0

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