Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Marske United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.1
	1.63	4	4.2
	1.74	4.32	3.73
	1.75	4.32	3.73
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.61	4.05	4.3
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	4.13 ↓ (4.3)	4.11 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
55.6%

Draw
22.1%

Marske United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilkeston's form might have worsened.

Marske United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilkeston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marske United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ilkeston - Marske United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ilkeston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ilkeston is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
28.11.23	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.11.23	Ilkeston - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLWT
- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Hyde United - Marske United	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Marske United - Macclesfield Town	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Marske United	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Marske United - Workington	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.23	Marske United - Ilkeston	1:3

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