Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Marske United		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.1
	2.7	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.52	4.16	2.29
	2.53	4.16	2.3
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	2.57	3.7	2.26
	2.7	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)	3.82 ↑ (3.68)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
34.4%

Draw
23.9%

Morpeth Town
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Marske United - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 13).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marske won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marske won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Guiseley - Marske United	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Marske United - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ilkeston - Marske United	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Hyde United - Marske United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWLWL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Matlock Town - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Morpeth Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Workington - Morpeth Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Morpeth Town - Marske United	4:2
10.04.23	Morpeth Town - Marske United	1:1
07.03.23	Marske United - Morpeth Town	2:1

Marske United - Morpeth Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide