Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Marske United		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.05
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	2.85	3.76	2.17
	2.85	3.76	2.17
	2.9	3.6	2
	2.84	3.6	2.12
	2.9	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.47)	3.65 ↓ (3.75)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marske United
31.8%

Draw
24.9%

Gainsborough Trinity
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marske United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marske United's performance.

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gainsborough Trinity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marske United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marske United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gainsborough Trinity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Marske is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainsborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gainsborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gainsborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marske won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Marske won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marske United
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.23	Hyde United - Marske United	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Marske United - Macclesfield Town	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Marske United	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Marske United - Workington	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Atherton Collieries - Marske United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Marske United	6:2
18.10.22	Marske United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3

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