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Current Win Probability
Martina Calcio 48.1%
Draw 27.9%
Afragolese 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
28.2%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
28.1%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Martina Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Martina Calcio - Afragolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Silvestro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 🟥,
67', 2 - 0, Silvestro M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Martina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Afragolese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Martina could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Martina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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