Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 29

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Lake Tanganyika Stadium (Kigoma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tanzania	UTV


	Mashujaa		Kinondoni MC

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.00	10.50
	1.17	6.10	10.50
	1.14	6.03	11.05
	1.16	6.97	12.59	Watch
	1.18	6.40	11.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.45)	6.3 ↑ (3.85)	11.27 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashujaa
77.6%

Draw
14.4%

Kinondoni MC
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

17.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashujaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mashujaa's performance.

Kinondoni MC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kinondoni MC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (-30.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mashujaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kinondoni MC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mashujaa - Kinondoni MC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munthali P. (G) 11. Balama M. 7. Gamal A. 27. Gindi M. 12. Karihe S. 25. Madeleke S. 66. Mgunda I. 6. Mtuwi B. (C) 20. Mwakinyuke M. 21. Shaban N. 17. Vuai M.	18. Mpank I. (G) 79. Baraja 55. Moshi Z. 30. Mussa R. 21. Mwaituka S. 44. Oreko E. 10. Saliboko D. 60. Samata M. 5. Shemvuni J. (C) 50. Tondi K. 9. Uledi A.
Substitutes
37. Bakari A. 67. Bwenzi S. 14. Haji H. 18. Johola E. (G) . Juma A. 26. Magingi F. . Mihambo H. 4. Onditi S. 49. Said M. 33. Yusuph K.	71. Aimari S. 86. Ally H. 13. Anyimike B. 34. Athuman H. (G) 17. Kayombo E. 37. Lumambo S. . Maligisa S. 12. Mosha N. J. 14. Mwijage E. 23. Paulo O. . Steven

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kinondoni is Relegated to

Mashujaa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kinondoni is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kinondoni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mashujaa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mashujaa is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mashujaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mashujaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mashujaa	7	4	0	3	8:7	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mashujaa	0:1 ✺
16.06.26	Azam - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Mashujaa - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Coastal Union - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Dodoma Jiji - Mashujaa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLT
- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	2:3 ✺
12.06.26	Kinondoni MC - TRA United	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Azam - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Pamba	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
03.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Mashujaa	1:0
12.12.24	Kinondoni MC - Mashujaa	0:0
08.05.24	Mashujaa - Kinondoni MC	3:0
02.12.23	Kinondoni MC - Mashujaa	3:2

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