Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 25

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mkwakwani Stadium (Tanga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Coastal Union		Mashujaa

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.88	3.15
	2.2	2.76	3.25
	2.31	2.74	3.45	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.24
	2.1	2.62	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	2.78 ↓ (2.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coastal Union
40.3%

Draw
32.2%

Mashujaa
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

31.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

31.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coastal Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mashujaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Union than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Coastal Union - Mashujaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ramadhani C. (G) 17. Gwalala G. 24. Kichuya S. 16. Manyasi G. 5. Msangi A. 19. Msimu B. 34. Mwanza S. 3. Oruchum C. 26. Rasimos A. 12. Ulimwengu T. 50. Wawa G.	35. Kanyonga L. (G) 37. Bakari A. 11. Balama M. 14. Haji H. 27. Madeleke S. 66. Mgunda I. 7. Mohamed A. 20. Mwakinyuke M. 4. Onditi S. 25. Salum M. 33. Yusuph K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Salum M. 🟨,
21', Yusuph K. 🟨,
41', Yusuph K. ↓, Mhagama C. ↑,
44', Kanyonga L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Kichuya S. ↓, Mwamita M. ↑,
56', Ulimwengu T. ↓, Maulid M. ↑,
62', 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Maulid M. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
72', Bakari A. 🟨,
78', Rasimos A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mashujaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Coastal Union is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coastal Union won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coastal Union won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Mashujaa - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
21.05.26	Coastal Union - Simba	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Mbeya City - Coastal Union	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Young Africans - Coastal Union	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Coastal Union	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Coastal Union - Singida Black Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLW
- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
20.05.26	Dodoma Jiji - Mashujaa	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mashujaa - Simba	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Namungo - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
01.12.25	Mashujaa - Coastal Union	0:0
11.02.25	Mashujaa - Coastal Union	0:0
13.09.24	Coastal Union - Mashujaa	0:1
12.04.24	Mashujaa - Coastal Union	1:2
25.10.23	Coastal Union - Mashujaa	2:0

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