Match Info
Premier League - Round 15Date: 22 December 2025, Monday
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Sofapaka |
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Kariobangi Sharks |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.92 |
2.68 |
2.52 |
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 |
2.67 |
2.8 |
2.83 |
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 |
2.91 |
2.67 |
2.67 |
 Watch |
 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
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 |
2.77 |
2.67 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.8 |
2.65 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.31) |
2.66 ↓
(2.9) |
2.65 ↓
(3.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sofapaka
31.9% | Draw
33.9% | Kariobangi Sharks
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kariobangi Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kariobangi Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Sofapaka (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3.Sofapaka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Kariobangi Sharks has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:1).Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 10.05.25 | Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks | 0:0 | | 01.12.24 | Kariobangi Sharks - Sofapaka | 1:2 | | 11.05.24 | Kariobangi Sharks - Sofapaka | 5:2 | | 10.12.23 | Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks | 2:1 | | 07.05.23 | Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks | 1:0 | | 24.02.23 | Kariobangi Sharks - Sofapaka | 2:0 | | Club Friendly | | | 20.09.22 | Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks | 0:0 |
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