Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Mathare United		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.9	3.25
	2.16	2.62	3.27
	2.24	2.83	3.47	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.2	2.86	3.4
	2.22	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
40.8%

Draw
31.5%

Nairobi City Stars
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.6%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-2%)

Mathare United - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 0.

Mathare United is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nairobi City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mathare United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1:15 (average 0.1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
23.11.24	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Mathare United - Kenya CB	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Mathare United - Talanta	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Police FC - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Mathare United - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWLW
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
23.11.24	Nairobi City Stars - Tusker	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Shabana - Nairobi City Stars	0:1 ✺
28.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi City Stars	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
29.03.23	Nairobi City Stars - Mathare United	3:0
22.01.23	Mathare United - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
26.02.22	Nairobi City Stars - Mathare United	3:0
11.12.21	Mathare United - Nairobi City Stars	0:2
02.03.21	Nairobi City Stars - Mathare United	2:0
14.08.16	Nairobi City Stars - Mathare United	0:1
30.03.16	Mathare United - Nairobi City Stars	0:2

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