Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Police FC		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.68	3.25	5.23	Watch
	1.69	3.14	5.26
	1.66	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.2 (3.2)	5.16 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
54.2%

Draw
28.3%

Mathare United
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

28.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

28%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Police FC - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Omar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Police is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
16.11.25	Tusker - Police FC	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Police FC - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.10.25	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Police FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTL
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	APS Bomet - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
20.02.25	Mathare United - Police FC	1:0
23.10.24	Police FC - Mathare United	2:0
14.05.23	Police FC - Mathare United	1:0
01.02.23	Mathare United - Police FC	0:5
15.05.22	Police FC - Mathare United	Canceled
15.01.22	Mathare United - Police FC	1:2

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