Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Posta Rangers		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	2.84	2.56	2.75
	2.41	2.67	3.29	Watch
	2.7	2.5	2.7
	2.67	2.7	2.98
	2.2	2.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)	2.65 ↓ (2.67)	3.01 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
35.5%

Draw
34.4%

Mathare United
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

34.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

34.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Posta Rangers - Mathare United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ojiambo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 2.

Posta Rangers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mathare United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mathare United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Posta Rangers might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Posta Rangers - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
20.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
16.12.25	Posta Rangers - Bandari	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	APS Bomet - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTT
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
16.01.26	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Bandari - Mathare United	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mathare United - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bidco United - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.09.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2
05.04.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	3:2
23.11.24	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	0:2
11.01.23	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1
17.03.22	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	2:3
26.06.21	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2
19.03.21	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	2:0

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