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Current Win Probability
Nairobi City Stars 13.9%
Draw 26.1%
Gor Mahia 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
29.6%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
28.8%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nairobi City Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi City Stars's form might have worsened.
Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Gor Mahia will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Odhiambo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Asenwa R. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Oalo D. ⚽,
89', Buliba E. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 1.
Nairobi City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Gor Mahia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gor Mahia is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:18 (average 1:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Nairobi City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
Tanzania
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