Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 4

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.65	3.2	2.46
	2.79	3.3	2.58
	2.74	3.25	2.55
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.73	3.32	2.49	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.46)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Matsumoto Yamaga
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aoki K. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 6. Okuma K. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 20. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K. (C)	1. Ouchi I. (G) 24. Ogawa D. 16. Miyabe T. 19. Sugita H. 17. Yamamoto R. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 41. Murakoshi K. 30. Kokubu R. 10. Kikui Y. 11. Asakawa H.
Substitutes
40. Ando R. 34. Kawai T. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 13. Nakano K. 41. Sakai S. 45. Tanaka S. 25. Yokokubo K. 18. Yoshizawa S.	40. Higuchi D. 49. Homma J. 13. Ishiyama A. 33. Kim J. H. (G) 29. Lucas Vargas 36. Matsumura G. 44. Nonomura T. 22. Saso K. 4. Takahashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Rikiyasu S. 🟨,
45+2', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Miyabe T. 🟨,
71', Asakawa H. ↓, Nonomura T. ↑,
72', Ogawa D. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,
72', Murakoshi K. ↓, Ishiyama A. ↑,
76', Okumura K. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
79', Kokubu R. ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
85', Inoue R. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
86', Ano M. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1.

Matsumoto Yamaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
02.03.25	Tochigi - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fukushima United	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Imabari - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - YSCC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
01.03.25	Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Kataller Toyama - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fukushima United	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.11.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0
25.02.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
17.09.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1
26.03.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
12.11.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:1
10.04.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:2

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