Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)

Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Mazatlan		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.7
	3.05	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.23	3.31	2.4
	2.77	3.34	2.48	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.7
	3.06	3.37	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.28)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	2.45 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
33.1%

Draw
28.4%

Tijuana
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Mazatlan - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mazatlan (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez D. (G) 15. Colula B. 19. Merolla L. 5. Almada F. 4. Diaz J. 23. Sierra J. 16. Esquivel J. 28. Hernandez D. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 9. Duarte A. 90. Fabio Gomes	2. Rodriguez A. (C) 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 6. Gomez A. 7. Vitinho 8. Tona I. 34. Boya F. 19. Mora G. 9. Nicholson S.
Substitutes
32. Castro C. 7. Dudu 8. Fierro S. 2. Garcia J. 20. Lainez M. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 33. Rodriguez R. (G) 12. Rodriguez S. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 18. Torres A.	17. Arciga R. 27. Blanco D. 10. Castaneda K. 15. Corona J. 25. Franco R. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 24. Osuna D. 11. Preciado A. 13. Reyes J. 16. Vega A.
Coaches
Siboldi R.	Abreu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Boya F. ⚽, Ortiz Orozco P. N. (A),
30', Porozo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bilbao U. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
46', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
46', Duarte A. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
59', Esquivel J. ↓, Dudu ↑,
62', Vitinho ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Benedetti N. ⚽, Dudu (A),
68', Arciga R. 🟨,
70', Nicholson S. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
73', Merolla L. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
74', Boya F. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
78', Inzunza R. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Benedetti N. (Pen),
84', Reyes J. 🟨,
88', Hernandez D. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
88', Benedetti N. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Castaneda K. (Pen),
90+8', Moreno Villegas O. F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.

Recent performances by Mazatlan have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tijuana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y. (Knee Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Meraz R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury) Herrera A. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Mazatlan - San Diego	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Los Angeles - Mazatlan	1:2 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWLW
- Club Tijuana
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Tijuana	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Tijuana - Juárez	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Club América - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
16.04.25	Mazatlan - Tijuana	0:2
27.09.24	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:0
29.03.24	Mazatlan - Tijuana	2:0
25.08.23	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1
14.04.23	Mazatlan - Tijuana	1:2
30.07.22	Tijuana - Mazatlan	2:0
11.02.22	Mazatlan - Tijuana	2:0

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