Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Mazatlan		San Diego

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.06	3.7	2.31
	2.87	3.80	2.21	Watch
	3.04	3.66	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.68)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	2.18 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
31.5%

Draw
25.5%

San Diego
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.7%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mazatlan - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mazatlan (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mazatlan (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Mazatlan (2.44) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +1 - Mazatlan (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 19. Merolla L. 5. Almada F. 2. Garcia J. 90. Fabio Gomes 8. Fierro S. 16. Esquivel J. 22. Herrera A. 10. Benedetti N. 9. Duarte A. 7. Dudu	1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 5. Diop H. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 22. Negri F. 14. de la Torre L. 20. Godoy A. (C) 77. Mighten A. 19. Vazquez D. 9. Angel T. 11. Lozano H.
Substitutes
15. Colula B. 4. Diaz J. 1. Gutierrez D. (G) 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 33. Rodriguez R. (G) 12. Rodriguez S. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 23. Sierra J. 18. Torres A.	24. Boateng E. 27. Bombino L. 10. Dreyer A. 18. Ferree D. (G) 23. Harangi A. 25. Pilcher I. 15. Soma P. 8. Valakari O.
Coaches
Siboldi R.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Godoy A. 🟨,
17', Merolla L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
46', Dudu ↓, Colula B. ↑,
46', McVey C. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
55', Colula B. 🟨,
62', de la Torre L. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
63', Godoy A. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
63', Lozano H. ↓, Dreyer A. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Valakari O. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
67', Duarte A. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Valakari O. ⚽, Vazquez D. (A),
78', Benedetti N. 🟥,
80', Duah M. ↓, Harangi A. ↑,
80', Garcia J. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
81', Merolla L. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
90+2', Harangi A. 🟨,

Preview

Mazatlan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Diego is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Mazatlan has had a series of away games.

San Diego will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Los Angeles - Mazatlan	1:2 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WWLWT
- San Diego FC
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.25	Tigres UANL - San Diego	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Pachuca - San Diego	3:2 ✺
MLS
25.07.25	San Diego - Nashville SC	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	San Diego - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

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