Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Seattle Sounders		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.38	4.75	5.75
	1.55	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.4	5.09	6.74
	1.59	4.40	5.07	Watch
	1.58	4.35	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	4.56 ↑ (4.05)	5.47 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
62.2%

Draw
20.6%

Tijuana
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seattle Sounders's performance.

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Seattle Sounders - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tijuana (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 21. Baker-Whiting R. 25. Ragen J. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 7. Roldan C. 18. Vargas O. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. 77. Kent R. 95. De Rosario O.	29. Hernandez J. (G) 16. Vega A. 13. Reyes J. 25. Franco R. 18. Mejia A. 27. Blanco D. 34. Boya F. 15. Corona J. 10. Castaneda K. 22. Vargas L. 11. Preciado A.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 15. Bell J. 37. Brunell S. 29. Castro J. (G) 10. de La Vega P. 24. Frei S. (G) 20. Kim Kee-Hee 75. Leyva D. 19. Musovski D. 5. Nouhou 16. Roldan A. 14. Rothrock P.	17. Arciga R. 4. Bilbao U. 199. Castro J. (G) 6. Gomez A. 202. Gonzalez J. 19. Mora G. 9. Nicholson S. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 24. Osuna D. 2. Rodriguez A. (G) 8. Tona I. 7. Vitinho
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Abreu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Blanco D. 🟨,
45+2', Rusnak A. (Pen),
45+4', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽, Blanco D. (A),
45+7', Kossa-Rienzi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, De Rosario O. ⚽, Kent R. (A),
63', Vargas L. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
64', Corona J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
64', Preciado A. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
64', Rusnak A. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
64', Kossa-Rienzi K. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
73', Roldan A. 🟨,
78', Mejia A. 🟨,
79', Mejia A. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
81', Kent R. ↓, de La Vega P. ↑,
82', De Rosario O. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
84', Reyes J. 🟨,
86', Vega A. 🟨,
87', Gomez A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Musovski D. ⚽, Roldan C. (A),
89', Abreu S. 🟨,
90+1', Ferreira J. ↓, Kim Kee-Hee ↑,
90+5', Franco R. 🟥,

Preview

Seattle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Seattle is a strong favorite.

We predict that Seattle will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Seattle Sounders - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	0:7 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Atlanta United - Seattle Sounders	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	3:2 ✺
16.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWT
- Club Tijuana
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Tijuana - Juárez	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Club América - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
11.07.25	Tijuana - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLW

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