Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Houston Dynamo		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.7	3.7	Watch
	2.38	3.34	3.12
	2.38	3.23	3.00	Watch
	1.86	3.75	3.89	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
45.3%

Draw
27%

Mazatlan
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Houston (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Houston Dynamo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Pedro (G) 5. Steres D. 24. Awodesu F. 22. Ortiz P. 25. Dorsey G. 30. Junior Urso 35. Raines B. 16. Duenas E. 27. Kowalczyk S. 17. Segal G. 8. Bassi A.	1. Gutierrez D. (G) 15. Colula B. 19. Merolla L. 5. Almada F. 22. Herrera A. 23. Sierra J. 18. Torres A. 199. Gonzalez I. 10. Benedetti N. 28. Hernandez D. 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
6. Artur 4. Bartlow E. 31. Bond J. (G) 11. Ennali L. 36. Felipe Andrade 23. Halliday M. 14. Holmes D. 9. Lingr O. 1. Maurer J. (G) 21. McGlynn J. 12. Olusanya T. 10. Ponce E.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 4. Diaz J. 9. Duarte A. 7. Dudu 8. Fierro S. 2. Garcia J. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 33. Rodriguez R. (G) 12. Rodriguez S. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Siboldi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Merolla L. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Almada F. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
31', Raines B. 🟨,
33', Steres D. 🟨,
35', Colula B. 🟨,
43', Segal G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
58', Bassi A. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
58', Segal G. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
58', Duenas E. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
63', Fabio Gomes ↓, Dudu ↑,
63', Gonzalez I. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
72', Merolla L. ↓, Leyva A. ↑,
72', Herrera A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
75', Steres D. ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
83', Dorsey G. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
85', Hernandez D. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,

Preview

Houston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mazatlan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mazatlan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Houston is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	Tigres UANL - Houston Dynamo	4:1 ✺
MLS
19.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	San Diego - Houston Dynamo	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLLW
- Mazatlan FC
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	Los Angeles - Mazatlan	1:2 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.9 WLWTW

Upcoming Matches