Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Mazatlan		Puebla

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.28	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.17	3.41
	2.25	3.17	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.25	3.08	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.08 ↓ (3.34)	3.31 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
41.2%

Draw
30.5%

Puebla
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Mazatlan - Puebla Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Puebla (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mazatlan (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Puebla (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez D. (G) 15. Colula B. 5. Almada F. 3. Samir Caetano 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 23. Sierra J. 16. Esquivel J. 22. Herrera A. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 28. Hernandez D. 9. Duarte A.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 14. Rivas J. 2. Fedorco J. (C) 4. Orona E. 25. Portales W. 24. Organista A. 3. Rey L. 8. Ramirez M. 15. Guerra E. 17. Lozano E. 21. Gonzalez O.
Substitutes
32. Castro C. 7. Dudu 8. Fierro S. 2. Garcia J. 199. Gonzalez I. 193. Lopez G. 6. Meraz R. 19. Merolla L. 33. Rodriguez R. (G) 12. Rodriguez S.	9. Cavallini L. 6. Diaz N. 18. Gamarra P. 11. Gomez E. 19. Marin R. 7. Monarrez F. 12. Moreno I. 5. Moyano F. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)
Coaches
Siboldi R.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Herrera A. ⚽, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. (A),
20', Fedorco J. 🟨,
26', Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 🟨,
37', Rivas J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Sierra J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guerra E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
46', Orona E. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
46', Rivas J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
58', Rey L. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
63', Gonzalez O. ↓, Cavallini L. ↑,
70', Esquivel J. ↓, Merolla L. ↑,
70', Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Pachuca Martinez J. R. (A),
76', Duarte A. 🟨,
77', Colula B. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
77', Hernandez D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
83', Sierra J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
86', Benedetti N. 🟨,
90+5', Cavallini L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mazatlan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Newells Old Boys - Mazatlan	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
19.04.25	Club América - Mazatlan	5:0 ✺
16.04.25	Mazatlan - Tijuana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 TWWLL
- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
11.07.25	Puebla - Atlas	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Club América - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.25	Puebla - Necaxa	0:1 ✺
15.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Club León - Puebla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
28.01.25	Puebla - Mazatlan	0:1
30.08.24	Mazatlan - Puebla	1:1
02.02.24	Puebla - Mazatlan	3:2
22.08.23	Mazatlan - Puebla	1:0
10.02.23	Puebla - Mazatlan	3:1
01.07.22	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:4
08.05.22	Puebla - Mazatlan	3:2 penalties

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