Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.10	4.80
	1.49	3.95	5.1
	1.55	3.96	4.66
	1.53	4.17	5.01	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.6
	1.56	4.25	4.93	Watch
	1.42	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.42)	4.09 ↓ (4.3)	4.9 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
59.6%

Draw
22%

Olimpia Elbląg
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sauczek C. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Gladysz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, Kaczmarek T. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Branecki J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Szwed M. ⚽,

Preview

Elbląg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mazovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mazovia is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	12	6	3	3	28:22	6	21
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Troszyn - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
31.07.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLT

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