Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mbale Municipal Stadium (Mbale)


	Mbale Heroes		Express

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.17
	2.74	3.46	2.3	Watch
	2.48	3.4	2.43
	2.8	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.55)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mbale Heroes
33.6%

Draw
26.3%

Express
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Express, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mbale Heroes - Express Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Oyo D. (G) 2. Eseru R. 26. Kajuba J. 4. Kasozi S. 17. Kawooya A. 23. Matata J. 20. Musamali P. 13. Muwanguzi A. 18. Olega C. 6. Ssali M. (C) 14. Ssenkungu P.	26. Achay H. 18. Hafizi K. 16. Kyeyune S. 23. Lumu I. 13. Mbazira A. 6. Shabene D. 7. Ssenoga M. K. 21. Ssenyonjo S. 28. Wandera H. 8. Wasswa E. (C) 2. Zziwa J.
Substitutes
30. Adima H. 8. Bashir O. 1. Mabuya S. (G) 5. Malunda M. 21. Nsubuga M. 15. Ssekajja D. 16. Waiswa C.	10. Gagganga G. 19. Kagiri M. (G) 1. Kalyowa E. (G) 15. Kisuule I. 29. Ssebandeke E. 27. Ssenfuma S. 9. Ssenjogera C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Wasswa E. ↓, Gagganga G. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
39', Kasozi S. ↓, Ssekajja D. ↑,
40', Ssenoga M. K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Zziwa J. 🟨,
67', Olega C. ↓, Adima H. ↑,
87', Ssenoga M. K. ↓, Ssebandeke E. ↑,
90+2', Lumu I. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mbale Heroes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
10.04.25	Villa - Mbale Heroes	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Wakiso Giants	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbale Heroes	3:2 ✺
13.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Lugazi Municipal	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Kampala City Council - Mbale Heroes	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
11.04.25	Express - Vipers	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0 ✺
27.03.25	NEC FC - Express	3:1 ✺
13.03.25	Express - Police	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
16.09.24	Express - Mbale Heroes	2:1

Upcoming Matches