Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium (Kampala)


	Maroons		Express

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.35
	1.56	3.63	5.21
	1.61	3.84	4.74	Watch
	1.6	3.4	4.8
	1.64	3.78	4.86
	1.5	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.68 ↑ (3.2)	4.83 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maroons
56.7%

Draw
24.6%

Express
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maroons - Express Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maroons (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Maroons will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Walugembe R. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Obua E. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Obua E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 4 - 0, Nkuubi B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Maroons is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
12.12.25	Kitara - Maroons	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Maroons - Villa	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Maroons - Lugazi Municipal	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Vipers - Maroons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTWL
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
11.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Express	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Express - Calvary	4:0 ✺
26.11.25	Express - Vipers	0:3 ✺
20.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Express - Mbarara City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0
28.09.24	Express - Maroons	0:0
28.03.24	Maroons - Express	2:0
24.11.23	Express - Maroons	0:1
16.12.22	Maroons - Express	1:1
05.03.20	Maroons - Express	0:1
05.11.19	Express - Maroons	2:2

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