Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Mbale Municipal Stadium (Mbale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Mbale Heroes		Vipers

	1	X	2
	5.8	3.5	1.56
	3.96	2.85	1.84
	5.45	3.38	1.64	Watch
	6	3.6	1.5
	5.49	3.38	1.61
	5.8	3.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↓ (6.25)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbale Heroes
16.8%

Draw
27%

Vipers
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

25.3%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

25.2%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbale Heroes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vipers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mujampwani P. (G) 30. Adima H. 6. Etoju A. 2. Etou G. 12. Kakeeto D. 28. Kato H. 23. Matata J. 7. Ofoyrwoth I. 18. Olega C. 15. Ssekajja D. 3. Sserugo A.	1. Mudekereza A. (G) 11. Karisa M. (C) 8. Lawal A. 18. Mbowa P. 16. Mukundane H. 21. Mulongo G. 3. Ndahiro D. 10. Okello A. 30. Torach R. 14. Wadada N. 25. Watambala K.
Substitutes
8. Bashir O. 26. Katumba E. 17. Kawooya A. 5. Malunda M. 11. Musabbah H. 19. Oyo D. (G)	29. Ankunda E. 7. Ekbad M. 22. Fumador A. 13. Katongole F. 31. Matovu R. 2. Matsiko G. 4. Mulondo L. 28. Ssekagya B. (G) 6. Ssentamu S. 24. Sukuya

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Karisa M. ⚽,
39', Lawal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 2, Okello A. ⚽,
58', Matata J. ↓, Katumba E. ↑,
62', Lawal A. ↓, Fumador A. ↑,
62', Mulongo G. ↓, Sukuya ↑,
70', Kato H. ↓, Kawooya A. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Okello A. ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, Karisa M. ⚽,
78', Karisa M. ↓, Katongole F. ↑,
78', Wadada N. ↓, Matsiko G. ↑,
90', Okello A. ↓, Ankunda E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Mbale Heroes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vipers is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mbale Heroes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vipers is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
11.12.24	UPDF - Mbale Heroes	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Kitara - Mbale Heroes	6:0 ✺
28.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Mbarara City - Mbale Heroes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWLT
- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
14.12.24	Vipers - Bul	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Bright Stars - Vipers	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Vipers - Kitara	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Vipers	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Vipers - Kampala City Council	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWT

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