Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 12

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Bombo Stadium (Kampala)


	UPDF		Mbale Heroes

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	6.2
	1.51	3.46	5.94
	1.54	3.57	6.38	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.48	3.6	6.88
	1.51	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)	3.6 ↑ (3.51)	6.35 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UPDF
60.5%

Draw
25.2%

Mbale Heroes
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

26%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wasswa Y. (G) 7. Faridi R. 14. Kabuye B. 15. Kalule S. 17. Kamagu C. 12. Kayondo R. 16. Kiirya A. 22. Mugisa F. 4. Muwanga B. (C) 21. Ochen E. 23. Ssekamatte S.	24. Mujampwani P. (G) 30. Adima H. 25. Bironse A. 6. Etoju A. 2. Etou G. 12. Kakeeto D. 23. Matata J. 11. Musabbah H. 7. Ofoyrwoth I. 15. Ssekajja D. 3. Sserugo A.
Substitutes
8. Janjali J. 20. Kalumba B. 13. Kawooya E. 18. Luka A. (G) 27. Mayanja S. 6. Mudde M. 5. Ssekitoleko D. 10. Zzinda H.	28. Kato H. 26. Katumba E. 17. Kawooya A. 5. Malunda M. 18. Olega C. 19. Oyo D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Ssekamatte S. (Pen),
33', Bironse A. 🟨,
40', Kayondo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kabuye B. ↓, Zzinda H. ↑,
50', Ochen E. 🟨,
65', Etou G. ↓, Olega C. ↑,
68', Musabbah H. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
73', Ssekamatte S. ↓, Mayanja S. ↑,
73', Ochen E. ↓, Kalumba B. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Adima H. ⚽,
85', Adima H. ↓, Kawooya A. ↑,
87', Mugisa F. ↓, Janjali J. ↑,
89', Kiirya A. ↓, Ssekitoleko D. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Recent matches UPDF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mbale Heroes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match UPDF is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
04.12.24	Bul - UPDF	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	UPDF - Police	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Kitara - UPDF	4:0 ✺
06.11.24	UPDF - Mbarara City	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Villa - UPDF	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WTLWL
- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
06.12.24	Kitara - Mbale Heroes	6:0 ✺
28.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bright Stars	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Mbarara City - Mbale Heroes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mbale Heroes - Bul	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Police - Mbale Heroes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTL

UPDF - Mbale Heroes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide