The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mbarara City 18%
Draw 28.3%
Kampala City Council 53.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
26.7%
57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.9%
26.2%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Kampala City Council has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Mbarara City - Kampala City Council Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Achayi H. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Kanyike M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Ahimbisibwe Ivan ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 1.
Mbarara City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kampala City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Kampala City is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
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