Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala) 🌤️ ...


	Ntugasaze		Mbarara City

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Ntugasaze
30.6%

Draw
29.3%

Mbarara City
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ntugasaze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ntugasaze's performance.

Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mbarara City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Bookmakers give the edge to Mbarara City for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ntugasaze FC
Ugandan Super League
19.09.26	Vipers - Ntugasaze	3:0 ✺
08.09.26	Bul - Ntugasaze	4:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ntugasaze - Maroons	1:3 ✺
Uganda Big League
25.03.26	Ntugasaze - Paidha Black Angels	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ntugasaze - Kataka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW
- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
16.09.26	Mbarara City - Entebbe UPPC	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Mbarara City - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Police - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Mbarara City - Villa	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Ntugasaze - Mbarara City