Match Info
Premier League - Round 14Date: 28 January 2026, WednesdayLocation: FUFA Kadiba Stadium (Kampala)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Uganda | Sanyuka TV |
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Villa |
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Mbarara City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.1 |
6.7 |
18.5 |
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 |
1.15 |
4.92 |
45.96 |
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 |
1.12 |
6.39 |
20 |
 Watch |
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1.11 |
7.5 |
21 |
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 |
1.18 |
5.55 |
13.4 |
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1.11 |
5.5 |
21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.19) |
6.09 ↑
(5.37) |
23.31 ↑
(12.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villa
81.1% | Draw
15% | Mbarara City
3.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa's performance.Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Villa - Mbarara City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Ssebuufu F. ⚽,
- 10', 2 - 0, Mubiru H. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 0, Atukunda T. ⚽,
- 35', 4 - 0, Ssemakula A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 5 - 0, Yiga N. ⚽,
- 55', 6 - 0, Mubiru H. ⚽,
- 88', 6 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa won 4.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, Mbarara City has had a series of home games. In this match, Villa is the undisputed favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Villa won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.8:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Villa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
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| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 16.04.25 | Mbarara City - Villa | 0:2 | | 16.09.24 | Villa - Mbarara City | 4:2 | | 30.03.24 | Villa - Mbarara City | 2:1 | | 25.11.23 | Mbarara City - Villa | 0:0 | | 19.04.22 | Villa - Mbarara City | 2:1 | | 30.11.21 | Mbarara City - Villa | 1:0 | | 24.04.21 | Mbarara City - Villa | 2:1 |
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