The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa 72.5%
Draw 19.8%
Mbarara City 7.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
75%
16.5%
8.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ssebuufu F. ⚽, Okumu A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Yiga N. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa won 5.
Villa arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mbarara City has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Villa as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Villa has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:13 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:7 goals (averaging 2.9:0.9 per game).