Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday


	Mbeya Kwanza		Simba

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.25	1.7
	4.8	3.7	1.58
	4.4	3.35	1.65
	4.79	3.54	1.57
	5	3.4	1.6
	4.26	3.4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (5.14)	3.44 ↑ (3.16)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbeya Kwanza
19.4%

Draw
26%

Simba
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

28.3%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

27.3%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbeya Kwanza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya Kwanza than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	5.3%	91.5%

Mbeya Kwanza - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: Simba will win (86 of 94 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.85% – 97.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification)).

Mbeya Kwanza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Simba is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Simba is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mbeya Kwanza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbeya Kwanza
Tanzanian Premier League
25.06.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Ruvu Shooting	1:2 ✺
22.06.22	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya Kwanza	4:1 ✺
15.06.22	Azam - Mbeya Kwanza	2:0 ✺
25.05.22	Mbeya Kwanza - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
20.05.22	Young Africans - Mbeya Kwanza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
26.06.22	Prisons - Simba	1:0 ✺
23.06.22	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0 ✺
19.06.22	Simba - Kinondoni MC	3:1 ✺
16.06.22	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Geita Gold - Simba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
06.02.22	Simba - Mbeya Kwanza	1:0

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