Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Mechal		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.92	4.45
	1.83	3.05	4.78
	1.87	3.15	4.36	Watch
	1.83	2.8	4.6
	1.89	3.14	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.01 ↑ (3)	4.55 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
49.4%

Draw
30.4%

Shire Endaselassie
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

29.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Shire Endaselassie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mechal - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Yigzaw A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 17).

Mechal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sihul Shire's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mechal is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mechal	38	14	15	9	44:31	13	57
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	-8	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mechal	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Mechal - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Welayta Dicha - Mechal	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWTL
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
13.03.26	Sidama Coffee - Shire Endaselassie	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Shire Endaselassie - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.11.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mechal	2:2
14.05.25	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1
10.01.25	Shire Endaselassie - Mechal	1:2

Mechal - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide