Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.72	2.32
	3.46	2.73	2.33
	3.47	2.68	2.35	Watch
	3.3	2.5	2.3
	3.37	2.69	2.31
	3.05	2.88	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	2.7 ↓ (2.88)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
27.4%

Draw
33.6%

Mechal
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

31.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Musiige C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, Yigzaw A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mechal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Mechal - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
27.02.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTLW
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
26.02.26	Mechal - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Welayta Dicha - Mechal	4:3 ✺
04.02.26	Hadiya Hossana - Mechal	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Mechal - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
30.10.25	Mechal - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	3:1
02.05.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mechal	0:0
31.10.24	Mechal - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:0

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mechal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide