Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.62	3.1
	2.77	2.45	3.16
	2.78	2.42	3.26	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.62	2.45	3.22	Watch
	2.4	2.63	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.51)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
34.9%

Draw
36%

Shire Endaselassie
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

35.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

34.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Shire Endaselassie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Tesfaye G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Ayi R. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Welwalo Adigrat has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sidama Coffee - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTLW
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
27.02.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Saint George - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
28.10.25	Shire Endaselassie - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
13.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie	1:1
07.02.25	Shire Endaselassie - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
14.12.19	Shire Endaselassie - Welwalo Adigrat	0:3

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