Match Info

Ethiopia Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Mechal		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.12	5.21
	1.65	3.32	5.55
	1.67	3	5
	1.7	3.35	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	5.23 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
54.3%

Draw
28.4%

Welwalo Adigrat
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

28.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mechal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Solomon F. 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Jemal F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tibebu E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Biruk M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tesfaye G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kudjoe C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hailemariam E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mamo D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Wondimu K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hagos G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mutakubwa J. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Alionzi N. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Hailemariam G. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Manaf I. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Mesfin M. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Tesfaye Y. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Beyene B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Mechal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Welwalo Adigrat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mechal is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Mechal - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Sidama Coffee - Mechal	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Mechal - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
04.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:2
07.03.25	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0
25.10.24	Welwalo Adigrat - Mechal	0:3

Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide