Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Shire Endaselassie		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.48	2.58
	3.72	2.16	2.83
	1.47	3.64	7.88	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.45
	3.45	2.38	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.32)	2.63 ↑ (2.37)	3.66 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shire Endaselassie
34%

Draw
38.4%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

38.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

37.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shire Endaselassie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shire Endaselassie's performance.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia Nigd Bank might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shire Endaselassie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethiopia Nigd Bank could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Darge D. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Daniel N. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sihul Shire won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
23.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Saint George - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTTW
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
24.10.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Shire Endaselassie	0:0
05.03.25	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:1
23.01.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Shire Endaselassie	1:1

Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide