Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 10

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)


	Meizhou Hakka		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.03	3.56	3.6
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.96	3.43	3.73	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (3.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.12)	3.49 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
46.3%

Draw
27%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.4%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

25.3%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meizhou Hakka's performance.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cangzhou Mighty Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cangzhou Mighty Lions than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cangzhou Mighty Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cangzhou will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meizhou Hakka: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Cheng Yuelei (G) 5. Tian Z. 11. Morris D. 31. Rao Weihui 29. Yue Tze-Nam 30. Chen Jie 27. Kosovic N. 15. Chen Zhechao 10. Yin Hongbo (C) 8. Conraad T. 7. Ye Chugui	14. Shao Puliang (C) 36. Yang Yun 3. Sunzu S. 16. Zheng Kaimu 17. Wen Da 15. Wang Peng 8. Zhao Yingjie 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 9. Heber 31. Solomon-Otabor V.
Substitutes
41. Guo Quanbo (G) 14. Li Ning 1. Mai Gaoling (G) 25. Rodrigo Henrique 9. Rooney W. 13. Shi Liang 20. Wang Jia'nan 42. Wei Zhiwei (G) 16. Yang Chaosheng 17. Yang Yihu 12. Yin Congyao 36. Zhang Sijie	37. Dong Hang (G) 26. Guo Yunqi 29. Han Feng (G) 33. Hu Jiali 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 13. Sun Qinhan 11. Tudi Dilyimit 18. Yao X. 7. Zheng Dalun
Coaches
Villar P.	Zhao Junzhe

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Heber ⚽, Solomon-Otabor V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yin Hongbo ↓, Rooney W. ↑,
46', Chen Zhechao ↓, Li Ning ↑,
59', Tian Z. 🟨,
61', Conraad T. ↓, Rodrigo Henrique ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Kosovic N. ⚽, Rodrigo Henrique (A),
76', Wen Da ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
77', Yang Yun ↓, Hu Jiali ↑,
79', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
84', Chen Jie ↓, Shi Liang ↑,
90+1', Wang Peng ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
90+4', Heber ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
30.04.24	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
10.04.24	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTTL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
01.05.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
26.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Shandong Taishan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
14.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
10.04.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
29.09.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
09.06.23	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:3
29.06.22	Meizhou Hakka - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1
09.06.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Meizhou Hakka	1:1

Upcoming Matches