Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Yatai		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.70	3.20	2.40	Watch
	2.98	3.30	2.43
	2.98	2.84	2.57	Watch
	2.90	2.95	2.35
	2.92	2.99	2.36	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.3)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.4 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
32%

Draw
29.8%

Guangxi Hengchen
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 33. Sun Guoliang 27. Reiner C. 14. JIng Boxi 3. Du Kaile 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 17. Muhamet 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O.	41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 2. Lu Jiaqiang 3. Yuan X. (C) 18. Wei Chaolun 6. Chen G. 44. Liang Yibin 7. Chen D. 11. Lapoussin L. 12. Yao-hsing Yu
Substitutes
1. An Zhicheng (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 2. Chen Guoliang 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 36. Lu K. 18. Lu Pin 26. Lu Yiming 7. Salazar J. 16. Tudi Dilyimit	28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 23. Khedrup Lobsang 20. Lu Junhui 36. Mbo N. 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 22. Shen Bokai (G)
Coaches
Yan Feng	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Muhamet ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Chen Xuhuang ⚽,
59', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Mbo N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Chen D. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Chen G. ⚽, Liang Yibin (A),
66', Yuan X. 🟨,
67', Du Kaile ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
74', Sun Guoliang ↓, Lu Pin ↑,
82', Li S. 🟨,
87', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
87', Tan Long ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
88', Liang Yibin ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
88', Chen D. ↓, Lu Junhui ↑,
89', Fan Houtai 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Changchun Yatai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors	0:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.05.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Changchun Yatai	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLW
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Hengchen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTW

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