Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)


	Meizhou Hakka		Guangzhou City

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	17	Watch
	1.2	6.25	13
	1.2	6.25	11
	1.2	6	13
	1.2	6.7	14.37
	1.15	6	15
	1.19	6.55	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.39)	6.25 ↑ (4.8)	13.84 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
78.3%

Draw
14.9%

Guangzhou City
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

18.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meizhou Hakka's performance.

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	9.5%	23.8%

Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meizhou Hakka: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Meizhou Hakka is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Meizhou Hakka is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
13.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
11.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
07.07.22	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
03.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLTW
- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
06.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan Three Towns	0:3 ✺
10.07.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	2:0 ✺
07.07.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	Shandong Taishan - Guangzhou City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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