Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Meizhou Hakka		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	7	4.75	1.36
	7.4	5.2	1.34	Watch
	8.46	5.53	1.34
	8.06	5.17	1.34	Watch
	7	4.75	1.36
	8.7	5.49	1.33	Watch
	7.4	5.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.82 ↑ (6.06)	5.17 ↑ (4.62)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
12%

Draw
18.1%

Chengdu Rongcheng
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

20.3%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

19.6%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Guo Quanbo (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 5. Tian Ziyi 19. Wen Da 20. Wang Jia'nan 18. Wei Zhiwei 16. Yang Chaosheng 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 10. Rodrigo Henrique 14. Ji Shengpan 9. Cheukoua M.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 2. Hu H. 5. Letschert T. 26. Yuan Mincheng 22. Li Y. 11. Gurfinkel Y. 10. Romulo 8. Chow T. 16. Yang Ming-Yang 7. Wei Shihao 9. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
15. Chen Xuhuang 4. Jocic B. 6. Liao Junjian 7. Li Ning 26. Liu Yun 11. Morris D. 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong 24. Zhang Hao 28. Zhong Haoran	4. Delgado P. 19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 18. Han Pengfei 1. Jian Tao (G) 47. Kallon I. 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 3. Tang Xin 17. Wang Dongsheng 15. Yan Dinghao 28. Yang Shuai
Coaches
Ristic M.	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Yang Ming-Yang ⚽, Wei Shihao (A),
10', Tian Ziyi 🟨,
17', Yuan Mincheng ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
27', 0 - 2, Wei Shihao ⚽, Felipe Silva (A),
31', 0 - 3, Romulo ⚽, Gurfinkel Y. (A),
37', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Zhong Haoran ↑,
45', Dong Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tian Ziyi ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
46', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
55', Rao Weihui 🟨,
56', Hu H. 🟨,
59', 0 - 4, Letschert T. ⚽,
63', Wen Da ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
67', Romulo ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
67', Li Y. ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,
69', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
69', Chow T. 🟨,
79', Ji Shengpan ↓, Li Ning ↑,
81', Wei Shihao ↓, Kallon I. ↑,
81', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Gan Chao ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.

Meizhou Hakka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is the obvious favorite.

There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Morris D. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
06.05.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	Qingdao West Coast - Meizhou Hakka	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWT
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
05.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:3 ✺
16.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
29.09.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	2:0
17.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:4
04.11.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:0
07.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:1
Chinese FA Cup
19.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:0
Chinese Super League
11.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2
20.06.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	0:0

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