Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Beijing Guoan		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	1.3	6.5	6.5	Watch
	1.32	5.9	6.5	Watch
	1.45	5.27	5.44
	1.52	4.87	4.78	Watch
	1.32	6.43	6.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	5.79 ↑ (4.87)	5.93 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
68%

Draw
16.2%

Meizhou Hakka
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

19.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

18.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Guoan's performance.

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Guoan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 2. Wu Shaocong 26. Bai Yang 3. He Yupeng 37. Cao Yongjing 23. Dawhan 8. Guga 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning	41. Guo Quanbo (G) 20. Wang Jia'nan 6. Liao Junjian (C) 23. Yang Ruiqi 17. Yang Yihu 4. Jocic B. 28. Zhong Haoran 26. Liu Yun 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 22. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 35. Jiang Wenhao 28. Li Ruiyue 19. Muhmet N. 7. Serginho 20. Wang Ziming 63. Wei J. 17. Yang Liyu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 10. Zhang Xizhe 21. Zhang Yuan	15. Chen Xuhuang 27. Deng Yubiao 14. Ji Shengpan 31. Rao Weihui 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 3. Wei Minghe 21. Wei Xiangxin 16. Yang Chaosheng 37. Yi Xianlong 29. Yue Tze-Nam
Coaches
Amarelle R.	Cao Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Bai Yang (A),
22', Liao Junjian 🟨,
45+4', Omarsson E. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Wang Gang (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Yang Yihu ↓, Rao Weihui ↑,
46', Liu Yun ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽,
60', Lin Liangming ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
60', Cao Yongjing ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Omarsson E. ⚽, Rodrigo Henrique (A),
65', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
65', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
70', Zhang Yuning ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
75', Liao Junjian ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
78', Wang Gang ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
78', Guga ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
89', Fang Hao 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3.

Beijing Guoan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Meizhou Hakka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Muhmet N. (Injury) Ngadeu M. (Yellow Cards) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Morris D. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.25	Beijing Guoan - Wofoo Tai Po	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
01.11.25	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
26.10.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Beijing Guoan	3:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.10.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLTL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
01.11.25	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Meizhou Hakka - Yunnan Yukun	1:4 ✺
17.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Meizhou Hakka - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
25.06.25	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	0:4
20.09.24	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	1:3
11.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	3:2
12.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	3:1
15.04.23	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	1:1
07.07.22	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0
17.06.22	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	2:2

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