Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2022, Monday

Location: Huizhou Olympic Stadium (Huizhou)


	Zhejiang Professional		Guangzhou City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.25	12
	1.15	5.9	13
	1.16	6	12
	1.15	6.15	12.09
	1.2	5.5	10	Watch
	1.14	6.8	14.5	Watch
	1.17	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.47)	6.11 ↑ (4.1)	12.23 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhejiang Professional
77.8%

Draw
14.8%

Guangzhou City
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

20.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhejiang Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhejiang Professional's performance.

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhejiang Professional than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhejiang Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zhejiang Pro will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhejiang Pro: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zhejiang Professional won 2.

Zhejiang Professional in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guangzhou City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guangzhou City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zhejiang Professional is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zhejiang Professional to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Zhejiang Professional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Zhejiang Professional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhejiang Professional FC
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Zhejiang Professional - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Zhejiang Professional - Meizhou Hakka	2:0 ✺
05.12.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	0:2 ✺
30.11.22	Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Hebei CFFC - Zhejiang Professional	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWW
- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
14.12.22	Guangzhou City - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Guangzhou City - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
30.11.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Guangzhou City	1:0 ✺
25.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
10.07.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	2:0
20.06.22	Guangzhou City - Zhejiang Professional	2:4
16.10.16	Guangzhou City - Zhejiang Professional	5:2
11.06.16	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	0:1
28.06.15	Guangzhou City - Zhejiang Professional	2:0
07.03.15	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	1:2
10.08.14	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou City	1:3

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