The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Meizhou Hakka 31%
Draw 27.3%
Nanjing City 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
25.7%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
23%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nanjing City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nanjing City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 22. Liao J. 29. Sun Xiaobin 32. Wen Q. 5. Pellenard T. 20. Wen Z. 16. Yang Chaosheng (C) 24. Sakhi H. 33. Zhu Baojie 25. Li Jiarun 10. Triboulet V.
26. Yang Chao (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 2. Wang Xijie 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 23. Hu Jinghang 11. Hu Rentian 18. Dong Honglin 14. Qurban W. 16. Yang He (C) 10. Ngom Mbekeli J.
Substitutes
13. Lai J. 3. Liang Jiahao 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 6. Wang Haoran 1. Wang Zehao (G) 35. Yang Yunbo 27. Zhang Enqi 34. Zhang J.
17. An Bang 25. Bruno Baio 29. Fu Shang 22. Meng Zhen 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 4. Zhao Chengle 45. Zheng Hao (G) 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Quim
Li Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Triboulet V. ⚽, Wen Q. (A),
31', Qurban W. 🟨,
37', Hu Rentian 🟨,
42', Wang Xijie 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
58', Hu Jinghang ↓, Bruno Baio ↑,
60', Wen Q. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
69', Li Jiarun ↓, Wang Haoran ↑,
74', Hu Rentian ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
74', Qurban W. ↓, An Bang ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽, Fu Shang (A),
77', 2 - 1, Triboulet V. ⚽,
79', Sakhi H. ↓, Su Jiale ↑,
79', Liao J. ↓, Liang Jiahao ↑,
90+8', Dong Honglin ↓, Zhao Chengle ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Meizhou Hakka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Meizhou Hakka
25
7
4
14
25:50
-25
22
15
Nanjing City
25
5
6
14
21:37
-16
21
Last Results with these Odds
Nanjing City - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.