Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dingnan United		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.2	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.15
	2.3	3.12	3.19	Watch
	2.25	3	3.05
	2.24	2.98	3.13	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.9)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.08 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
40.6%

Draw
29.8%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dingnan United's form might have worsened.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shijiazhuang Gongfu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 27. Wang Sihan 16. Li Zhi 4. Daciel 21. Hu Jiajin 22. Gao S. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 7. Palacios M. 2. Zhang Yujie 11. Erikys 18. Fan Bojian (C)	13. Li Xuebo (G) 12. Song Haoyu 29. Shan P. 5. Niu Ziyi 27. Hakimhan Ernar 18. Zheng Zhiyun 26. Ma Junliang 28. Zhang Yudong (C) 8. Du Zhixuan 31. Dominic Vinicius 7. Conraad T.
Substitutes
28. Cheng Yetong 17. Chen Po-Liang 23. Du Junpeng 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 10. Tang Shi 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 8. Zhang Zimin 3. Zhu Mingxin	38. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Guo Lingzi 25. Kurban I. 3. Li Jingrun 39. Liu B. 33. Li Y. (G) 4. Pan Kui 17. Sun Weizhe 10. Vidal H. 36. Yang Yun 15. Zhao C. 30. Zhou Wenhao
Coaches
Mao Biao	Tato J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Dominic Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
36', Shan P. 🟨,
39', Li Zhi 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Conraad T. ⚽, Ma Junliang (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Li Zhi ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
46', Li Zhi 🟨,
51', Dominic Vinicius 🟥,
51', Fan Bojian ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

Dingnan United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dingnan United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dingnan United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dingnan United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Dingnan United - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United	5:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan United	4:4 ✺
18.07.26	Dingnan United - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
16.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2
13.07.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:1
16.03.25	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2

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