Match Info

A-League Women - Round 11

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Sydney FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.28	4.95	8.1
	1.31	5.26	9.02	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.3	5.21	9.02	Watch
	1.27	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.05 ↑ (4.56)	8.11 ↑ (7.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
70.6%

Draw
18.1%

Sydney FC
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

19.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Melbourne City - Sydney FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. 3. Turner D. 7. Butrus D. 18. Davidson L. 6. McKenna L. 15. Uchendu C. 9. McNamara H. 21. Keane A.	1. Hinz H. (G) 4. Tumeth T. 5. Fenton K. 16. Pearson W. 14. Lemon A. 8. Lowry H. 21. Hunter S. 26. Caspers M. 9. Ulkekul J. 19. Halmarick S. 7. Cassar A.
Substitutes
23. Barbieri M. (G) 22. Henry B. 11. Jackson D. 17. Jugovic K. 16. Roestbakken K. 2. Wilson E.	2. Ayson M. 17. Corbett C. 32. Galic B. 18. Luchtmeijer A. 30. Robertson T. (G) 13. Tanner R.
Coaches
Matricciani M.	Juric A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lowry H. ↓, Galic B. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Uchendu C. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
54', Cassar A. ↓, Tanner R. ↑,
57', Lemon A. 🟨,
67', Butrus D. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
72', Caspers M. ↓, Corbett C. ↑,
72', Halmarick S. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
80', Galic B. 🟨,
86', Uchendu C. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
86', Tumeth T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.

Melbourne City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
28.12.25	Melbourne City - Perth Glory	3:1 ✺
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Canberra United - Melbourne City	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League Women
19.11.25	Melbourne City - Hồ Chí Minh City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Sydney FC Women
Australian A-League Women
19.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Sydney FC	7:0 ✺
10.12.25	Canberra United - Sydney FC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sydney FC - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
31.10.25	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	2:2
15.02.25	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	2:1
05.01.25	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	1:1
24.11.24	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	1:1
04.05.24	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	0:1
10.02.24	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	0:0
26.11.23	Sydney FC - Melbourne City	2:3

Melbourne City - Sydney FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide