Match Info

A-League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ctrl cyber Pitch (Melbourne)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne City		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.25	3.35
	2.04	3.71	3.61
	1.97	3.81	3.42	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	1.98	3.54	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	3.46 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City
47.3%

Draw
26.1%

Melbourne Victory
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

25.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 3. Turner D. 12. McMahon S. 6. McKenna L. 18. Davidson L. 22. Henry B. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H.	1. Newbon C. (G) 6. Ray T. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 66. Jancevski A. 23. Lowe R. 10. Pollicina R. 81. Maher G. 9. Furphy H. 16. White K. 7. O'Grady E.
Substitutes
25. Aoyagi A. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 14. Hughes L. 11. Jackson D. 20. Karic C. 2. Wilson E.	4. Blissett C. 11. Flannery N. 24. Pickett L. 5. Sakalis S. 8. Saveska S. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)
Coaches
Matricciani M.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, McMahon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', White K. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
69', Pollicina R. ↓, Sakalis S. ↑,
70', McKenna L. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
71', Morrison K. 🟨,
77', Bunge C. 🟨,
79', O'Grady E. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
80', Roestbakken K. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
84', Keane A. ↓, Jackson D. ↑,
90+2', McNamara H. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.

Melbourne City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melbourne Victory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
02.05.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League Women
29.03.26	Melbourne City - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1 ✺
Australian A-League Women
22.03.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
02.05.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
02.05.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:1
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	2:1
01.02.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:1
08.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	2:3
16.03.24	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0
23.12.23	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:0

Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide