Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.90	3.90
	1.62	4.15	3.95
	1.67	4.32	3.95
	1.67	4.34	3.86	Watch
	1.65	4.25	3.8
	1.71	4.15	3.89
	1.65	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	4.19 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
54.9%

Draw
21.7%

North Geelong Warriors
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

22.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

22%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Melbourne Srbija - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

Melbourne Srbija is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

North Geelong has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Melbourne Srbija has had a series of home games.

Melbourne Srbija might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne Srbija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
03.08.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Srbija	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Srbija	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Melbourne Srbija - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Melbourne Srbija - Manningham United	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLW
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
01.08.26	North Geelong Warriors - Bulleen Lions	0:4 ✺
25.07.26	Brunswick Juventus - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Geelong Warriors	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	North Geelong Warriors - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
28.02.26	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Srbija	2:1

Melbourne Srbija - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide