Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Wellington Phoenix		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.20
	2.95	3.50	2.17
	3.03	3.90	2.26
	2.98	3.76	2.22	Watch
	2.95	3.70	2.14
	2.95	3.80	2.31
	2.85	3.60	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	3.66 ↓ (3.74)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Phoenix
31.9%

Draw
25.7%

Melbourne Victory
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.

Wellington could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wellington has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:31 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wellington against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 17:12 goals (averaging 1.7:1.2 per game).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Melbourne Victory: 13.33% Wellington Phoenix: 4.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
24.04.26	Macarthur FC - Wellington Phoenix	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWLWW
- Melbourne Victory
Australian Cup
10.10.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory	2:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	Viettel - Melbourne Victory	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
09.09.26	Sydney - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Melbourne Victory	0:1 AET ✺
08.08.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
05.04.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	0:1
06.02.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:3
29.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	5:1
12.04.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	2:3
14.02.25	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:0
23.11.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0
18.05.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ET

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide