Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Isla (Coria)


	Coria		Elche

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.2	1.38
	8.25	4.75	1.39
	8.5	4.33	1.36	Watch
	8.19	4.41	1.36
	9.29	4.39	1.37	Watch
	9.5	4.75	1.29	Watch
	10.5	5.05	1.32
	8.5	4.33	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.03 ↓ (9.16)	4.53 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
10.3%

Draw
20.6%

Elche
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

20.6%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

19.7%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Coria - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: Elche will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Barriga M. 23. Moubeke D. 4. Rubio J. 5. Llerena G. 17. Manchon Samuel 22. Carro M. 20. Leon I. 10. Gomez S. 7. Margallo P. 16. Chavales J. 9. Mercadal A.	1. San Roman M. (G) 2. Mario Gaspar 26. Barzic M. 41. Albert 16. Alex Martin 20. Salvador C. 8. Guti R. 18. Kaba S. 36. Nunez R. 19. El Ghezouani M. 35. Houary A.
Substitutes
18. Carmona M. 12. Cedenilla M. 19. Copete N. 14. El Yahyaoui H. 1. Leal K. (G) 11. Paez A. 21. Parra M. 6. Telles L.	9. Alvarez A. 32. Boayar A. 40. Bosch O. (G) 21. Castro N. 5. Donald J. 31. Hernandez G. 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 24. Santiago Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mario Gaspar ⚽, Guti R. (A),
16', Rubio J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Houary A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
55', Llerena G. 🟨,
57', Barzic M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
57', Gomez S. ↓, Parra M. ↑,
57', Margallo P. ↓, Copete N. ↑,
57', Mercadal A. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
63', Mario Gaspar ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
63', Nunez R. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
67', Rubio J. ↓, Cedenilla M. ↑,
71', Manchon Samuel ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
74', Chavales J. 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Coria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Elche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elche is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Getafe B - Coria	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Coria - Tenerife B	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Illescas - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Elche - Burgos	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Elche - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTL

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