Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Melilla		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	5	3.5	1.57
	5	3.75	1.62	Watch
	5.3	3.85	1.68
	5.3	3.55	1.68
	5.3	3.58	1.63
	5	3.55	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.06)	3.61 ↑ (3.1)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
18.1%

Draw
25.5%

Córdoba
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

28.8%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

28.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melilla - Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 2. Pepe Romero 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 22. Gnali J. 7. Garcia M. 4. Suarez D. 8. Cotan A. 14. Marchena A. 18. Siddiki O. 9. Jose Enrique	13. Marin C. (G) 2. Rodriguez I. 4. Ruiz A. 8. Gudelj D. 3. Calderon J. 23. Carracedo C. 22. Diarra Y. 7. Kike 15. Ruiz I. 17. Adilson 20. Casas A.
Substitutes
23. Cantarero O. 20. Garcia D. 12. Hernandez D. 15. Martin D. 5. Masogo A. 21. Mateo J. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 24. Serrano J. (G) 11. Vinicius Tanque 3. Yuste A.	10. Bouzaidi S. 16. Delgado C. 28. Fernandez P. 18. Garcia C. 29. Jimenez O. 32. Lopez A. 14. Recio 1. Tarres L. (G) 26. Vazquez A.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Melilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Córdoba is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Córdoba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Córdoba is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	San Fernando - Melilla	4:1 ✺
19.11.23	Melilla - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Alcoyano - Melilla	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.11.23	Córdoba - Antequera	3:0 ✺
22.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Atlético Madrid B - Córdoba	1:6 ✺
12.11.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Málaga - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWTT

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